The decline in Jindal's popularity cuts across party lines. Where he was at 81/13 with Republicans in August 2010, now it's 59/35. Where he was at 67/22 with independents back then, now he's at 41/54. And what was a higher than normal amount of crossover support from Democrats at 33/58 is now 15/78.
There was a time when Jindal probably would have been seen as a slam dunk candidate for Republicans against Mary Landrieu in 2014. But now he actually trails Landrieu 49/41 in a hypothetical match up.
Trailing Landrieu hardly puts Jindal alone among Louisiana Republicans. She leads all seven we tested against her, by margins ranging from 3 to 12 points. Landrieu has a narrowly positive approval rating with 47% of voters giving her good marks to 45% who disapprove. That's up from 41/53 in August of 2010...her numbers are seeing some recovery from their post Obamacare decline.
The Republican who comes closest to Landrieu is Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne, who trails just 46/43. Dardenne has a 41/23 favorability rating statewide and is seen positively by both Democrats (43/22) and Republicans (42/25).
We also tested a number of current or former Republicans members of Congress against Landrieu. Charlie Boustany comes the closest with a 6 point deficit at 48/42. He's followed by Jeff Landry who trails 48/39, Steve Scalise who trails 48/38 and Bill Cassidy who trails 50/40, and John Fleming who trails 50/38.
Most of the Republicans don't have a ton of statewide name recognition, so things would probably tighten up once the party had a candidate. But Landrieu is pretty close to the 50% mark in all of these match ups and in a stronger position for reelection probably than a lot of people would expect.
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